Knight Frank India reports that India's residential real estate will remain steady through mid‑2026. Urbanisation, infrastructure projects and lower loan rates boost premium projects, while affordable housing faces mounting pressure.
After the rapid post‑pandemic boom, India's housing sector is now entering a consolidation phase rather than a correction. According to the latest Knight Frank India study, demand continues to be buoyed by urban migration, expanding infrastructure and softer borrowing costs, even as developers launch projects faster than the market can absorb them, leading to a modest rise in inventory.
Current Market Landscape
In the first half of 2026, the eight largest residential markets recorded 171,471 home sales while 187,350 units were launched. This indicates that supply is beginning to outpace demand, yet the underlying fundamentals remain robust. Shishir Baijal, International Partner and Managing Director of Knight Frank India, said, "H1 2026 delivered one of the strongest half‑year sales performances of the last decade, while the sector’s core strengths stay intact."
Premium Segment Drives Growth
Homes priced above ₹1 crore accounted for 54% of total sales in H1 2026, up from 49% a year earlier. Higher‑income buyers are prioritising prime locations, construction quality and long‑term value over entry‑level pricing, pushing price appreciation into the premium and luxury brackets.
Challenges for Affordable Housing
Affordability concerns continue to weigh on the lower end of the market. Stricter RERA regulations and tighter financial discipline among developers are curbing the risk of a sharp correction, but rising inventory could still lead to price disparities. Budget‑friendly projects face limited land availability and tighter financing, restricting supply.
Outlook for the Rest of 2026
The report expects lower home‑loan rates, driven by cumulative monetary easing, to sustain demand in the coming months. Should project launches continue to outstrip sales, developers may resort to flexible payment schemes, subsidy programmes and stamp‑duty waivers to keep momentum alive. Continued infrastructure investment, stable employment and ongoing urban migration are expected to preserve market resilience even as growth moderates.