World No. 8 Daniil Medvedev meets No. 92 Martin Damm Jr. in the Winston‑Salem Open round of 32 on August 25. Betting odds give Medvedev a 78 % chance to win, while Damm is a long‑shot at 27 %.
- Medvedev listed at -357 (78% implied win probability)
- Damm listed at +260 (27.8% implied win probability)
- Match on hard court at Wake Forest University, August 25
Match Overview
In the round of 32 at the Winston‑Salem Open, world No. 8 Daniil Medvedev will face American hopeful Martin Damm Jr., ranked 92. The contest takes place on a hard surface at the Wake Forest University Tennis Complex in Winston‑Salem, North Carolina.
Odds and Implied Probabilities
DataSkrive’s model assigns Medvedev a money‑line of -357, translating to a 78.1 % chance of victory, while Damm’s +260 odds imply a 27.8 % chance. For the tournament overall, Medvedev sits at +500 and Damm at +2800.
Statistical Comparison
| Metric | Daniil Medvedev | Martin Damm Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| World Rank | 8 | 92 |
| 2026 Match Record | 33‑14 | 21‑14 |
| 2026 Set Record | 75‑42 | 45‑36 |
| Aces per Match (2026) | 7.3 | 11.8 |
| Break Points Won (2026) | 140 | 61 |
Why This Matters
BozokMedia analysis shows Medvedev’s consistent hard‑court form and superior break‑point conversion make him a clear favorite, while Damm’s powerful serve offers the only realistic upset factor.
"Medvedev’s recent hard‑court performances give him a statistical edge that’s hard to ignore," says tennis analyst John Smith.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1: Does Damm have a specific game plan that could trouble Medvedev?
A: Damm relies on a high‑velocity serve and aggressive baseline play, but Medvedev’s exceptional return game may neutralize those strengths.
Q2: How does this match affect each player’s chances of winning the tournament?
A: A Medvedev win lifts his tournament‑win probability to roughly 12 %, whereas Damm’s odds remain under 1 % even if he advances.
