Kazakhstan opened voting on Sunday, with President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev’s allies expected to secure a commanding majority, tightening his control amid economic strain and media pressure.

  • Adilet party poised for a landslide win
  • First election for the new unicameral Kurultai parliament
  • Power centralisation amid economic stress and media crackdown

Voting began on Sunday in Kazakhstan’s parliamentary elections, widely expected to give President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev and his allies a decisive majority. The vote marks the first for the newly created single‑chamber parliament, the Kurultai, established after Tokayev’s March‑initiated constitutional overhaul.

The constitutional amendments were approved by 87% of voters in a referendum, granting the president authority to appoint key officials—subject to parliamentary approval—and reinstating the vice‑presidency, thereby expanding executive reach.

Tokayev, 73, a former Soviet official and UN diplomat, has been in office since 2019. He argues the reforms are needed for swift decision‑making in a rapidly changing world, while balancing Moscow and the West after sanctions on Russia over the Ukraine war.

Last month, Kazakhstan’s Constitutional Court ruled that the amendments effectively reset Tokayev’s term limits, opening the path for him to run for another seven‑year term. Economically, the country faces headwinds: February inflation hit 10.2% and tax hikes have fueled public discontent. Analysts warn that the strain pushes Tokayev to concentrate power to avoid a repeat of the violent January 2022 fuel‑price protests.

Why This Matters

BozokMedia analysis shows that the consolidation of power in Astana not only reshapes domestic politics but also signals a firmer stance in Central Asian geopolitics, potentially affecting Russian and Chinese influence in the region.

"Tokayev’s move turns Kazakhstan into a more centralized state while it wrestles with deep economic challenges," says political analyst Alisha Beketova.

Press freedom is under mounting pressure. Independent journalist Lukpan Akhmedyarov faces a criminal case for “spreading false information” after publishing a list of Kazakh citizens fighting in Ukraine, risking up to seven years in prison. Media organisations have urged Tokayev to drop charges and amend laws to safeguard journalism.

Did You Know?: Kazakhstan’s new unicameral Kurultai replaced the previous bicameral system after the 2022 referendum, streamlining legislative processes.

Frequently Asked Questions

Question 1: Can Tokayev serve another seven‑year term?

Answer: Yes, the constitutional changes allow him to run for another term.

Question 2: Which parties form the main opposition?

Answer: The opposition is fragmented; most smaller parties are loyal to Tokayev, while independent voices face legal and media suppression.